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The Google-Wiz deal serves as a "litmus test" for how the Trump administration handles big technology.

Seven months ago, Alphabet lost a marquee case against the Biden administration’s Justice Department, which accused the company of maintaining an illegal monopoly in search. Weeks earlier, Google’s pursuit of cybersecurity vendor Wiz, in what would have been its largest deal ever, fizzled in part because of antitrust concerns.

With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Alphabet is back on the offensive.

Alphabet on Tuesday agreed to buy Wiz for $32 billion in cash, almost $10 billion more than the proposed price in mid-2024, and said it expects the deal to close next year, subject to regulatory approvals.

Wiz will sit in Google’s cloud division, which is far from the company’s dominant search business. Google is behind Amazon and Microsoft in cloud infrastructure, a standing that would make the regulatory case against a tie-up challenging for any administration.

The Federal Trade Commission under Lina Khan was notoriously prickly with respect to tech deals, aggressively scuttling transactions in ways that frustrated even notable Democrat supporters like Reid Hoffman and Mark Cuban. Google’s pursuit of Wiz may be the first big test for new FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson, as the tech industry gauges how Trump 2.0 will treat the industry that houses the six biggest U.S. companies by market value.

“It’s going to be a great litmus test and bellwether for M&A in 2025,” said Brad Haller, senior partner for mergers and acquisitions at consulting firm West Monroe. “This happening relatively early on this year means it can be used as a measuring stick.”

As a venture-backed company, the deal would be a major windfall for Silicon Valley venture capital firms, which have struggled to generate returns since the initial public offering market mostly shut down in early 2022 and large M&A went dormant. After peaking at $780 billion in 2021, VC exit value plummeted to $89.2 billion the following year and to $71.6 billion in 2023, according to an October report from PitchBook and the National Venture Capital Association. In the third quarter of 2024, the number hit a five-quarter low.

“Large acquisition strategy is back on the menu for VC-backed companies,” Haller said.

Index Ventures is the largest outside investor in Wiz, followed by firms including Sequoia Capital, Insight Partners and Cyberstarts.